Theathletic

Fantasy Football Waiver Wire NFL Week 13: Josh Downs, A.T. Perry, streamers and more

K.Thompson3 months ago

The Week 13 fantasy football waiver wire is thin! And that’s even before accounting for byemageddon again. We have the Saints with multiple receiver injuries making A.T. Perry interesting, some timeshare running backs like Tyler Allgeier , and wideouts who shouldn’t be available (hello, Josh Downs ). So, there is some help on waivers after all.

HEADS UP

  • Players must be under 60% rostered on Yahoo
  • Listed in order of preference — I’ll often prioritize potential upside over immediate middling production
  • No FAB suggestions: It varies wildly by league tendencies and always relative (ex: if you lost your RB1 to injury and there is a clear backup, you’re going to be more aggressive)
  • Streaming QB and TE are grouped together — weekly ranking can change once projections/ranks run — DST could shift a bit too
  • ** **

    WORRY REPORT (1 to 5)
    More Ducks (and Eggs) = More Concern

  • Tua Tagovailoa , MIA — Over his past three games (Weeks 9-12), Tagovailoa is QB22 in FPPG... behind Tommy DeVito . He has two games over 18 points since Week 6, and the Dolphins face TEN, NYJ, DAL, and BAL after the Commanders this week. You want Tua out there in Week 13, but I’d have a backup plan after that.
  • James Conner , ARI — Conner’s appeal has been his ability — when healthy — and volume. The latter looks tenuous with Michael Carter getting 38.1 RBTouch% to Conner’s 47.6, plus Carter having 83.3% of his snaps being passing plays. Carter looks to be in the position as a timeshare piece, likely 40% or so, which could knock Conner out of the RB2 tier.
  • Adam Thielen , CAR — One more week. That’s what I’m giving Thielen before a full-blown Infinity Duck. Thielen still rarely comes off the field, has double-digit targets in six games, and just had 11-8-74 in Week 11, but... he also has tallies of 5.4, 7.2 and 0.7 in three of his past four games. The Buccaneers are the best passing matchup you can find, so if Thielen (and Bryce Young ) don’t look better — especially with the coaching changes — it’s panic time.
  • Emojis and Acronyms to Know

  • = I Tried to Tell Ya — players included for several weeks (not much more to add if you don’t want them)
  • = Check if Dropped — players whose managers might have cut for other need or impatient
  • = Long-Term Target — players with starter+ upside who require patience (stash picks)
  • = Backup/Next Man Up — players who have almost no value but starter+ upside if injury ahead of them
  • RBTouch% — RB touch percentage — percent of team total RB touches that player had
  • TmTGT% — Team target percentage — percent of team total targets going to that player
  • G2G and GL — Goal-to-Go (inside the 10-yard line) and Goal-Line (inside the 5-yard line)
  • TmAirYD% — Team Air Yard percentage — percent of team total air yards going to that player
  • Rondale Moore and Greg Dortch , ARI — Moore doesn’t see much volume, and Dortch doesn’t see top-two consistent route participation. Dortch is a fine one-week flier if Michael Wilson doesn’t return, but the Cardinals have a bye next week.
  • Kalif Raymond , DET — Games like these happen 2-3 times a year for Raymond.
  • UNBREAK MY HEART

  • Jared Goff , GB — Love has 20.9 and 26.6 points, respectively, in the past two games after a mini rebound of 16.7 in Week 10. Not coincidentally, he has 2+ passing touchdowns in each contest with 5.0-9.4 TD/ATT% after topping 3.8% just once since Week 2. The Chiefs will be a real test, as the past two games were against the weak Chargers and Lions pass defenses. I’m starting to forgive, but not entirely. Fortunately, even if Love struggles against the Chiefs, the Giants, Bucs, Panthers and Vikings close things out for the Packers .
  • Christian Watson , GB — As someone commented during the podcast, “Quit Playing Games with My Heart.” I want to see more from Watson, who had his first game with more than three receptions. Sure, back-to-back weeks with a touchdown are nice, but also having just one game over 37 yards before Week 12 is not.
  • STREAMING TIGHT ENDS

    STREAMING DST

    Week 13

  • JAX vs CIN
  • LAC at NE
  • LAR vs CLE
  • TB vs CAR
  • ATL at NYJ
  • DET at NO
  • IND at TEN
  • Week 14

  • NO vs CAR
  • GB at NYG
  • JAX at CLE
  • HOU at NYJ
  • CIN vs IND
  • MIN at LV
  • (Photo by Nick Wosika/Icon Sportswire via )

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