Pennlive

How did your precinct in Dauphin or Cumberland county vote Tuesday? Check our interactive maps

K.Wilson22 min ago
Donald Trump's victory Tuesday night in his quest for a second presidential term was largely the result of a shift in the political coalitions that make up the Republican and Democratic voter bases — and the Harrisburg metro region wasn't immune to this.

Exit polls and some early analysis of voting data show a number of trends , according to national observers, who have generally noted that Trump and Republicans gained ground in rural areas and also ate heavily into Democrats' advantages with young and/or non-white men.

Vice President Kamala Harris continued to pick up a greater share of higher-educated white voters and suburban areas – but not enough to counteract Trump's advances in other demographics.

Those patterns can be seen locally. In 2020, nearly all of the Harrisburg metro's suburban precincts shifted sharply left, giving President Joe Biden a greater portion of their votes than they gave to Hillary Clinton in 2016.

In 2024, that shift slowed remarkably. Harris did make slight gains over Biden in suburbs that are growing with well-educated and more affluent arrivals. In more modest suburbs, she often lost ground, although these changes were generally not dramatic either way.

Harris also closed the gap with Trump in some rural or exurban precincts that are heavily Republican, possibly as part of a trend of retirement-age starting to turn away from the GOP.

Most pronounced of all, however, was Trump gaining ground in Harrisburg itself as well as in its less-wealthy, more racially-diverse suburbs — by far the largest shifts observed at the precinct level.

Even at the county level, the divergence is clear. In Cumberland County, Trump captured nearly 54% of the vote this year, compared to 44.32% for Harris, a gap of about 9.5 points. But this is actually a worse performance than four years ago, when Trump led Biden by 10.5 points.

In the significantly less white Dauphin County, Trump fell behind Harris this year by a gap of 5.5 points. But this is a notable improvement for him over 2020 when Biden led Dauphin County by 8.5 points.

PennLive's precinct-level voting data is presented in four interactive maps, two for each county. The fist shows which candidate got the most votes, with bluer precincts favoring Harris more and redder precincts favoring Trump.

The second map shows the change from 2020, with bluer precincts showing a shift in Harris' favor and redder precincts to Trump.

0 Comments
0