MLB Playoffs odds, model projections, schedule for Monday’s ALDS Game 2s: Tigers at Guardians, Royals at Yankees

The home teams won both Game 1s to start the American League Division Series on Saturday. The Cleveland Guardians and New York Yankees are both clearly in prime position in the odds, but Tarik Skubal is taking the mound on Monday so the Detroit Tigers are favored to win Game 2 in Cleveland.

Skubal is the AL Cy Young favorite and already has a playoff gem under his belt. He pitched six scoreless innings against Houston in Game 1 of the Wild Card series. It's only a 1-0 series lead for Cleveland after a dominant 7-0 win in Game 1 that featured five Guardians runs in the first inning, but this feels almost like a must-win for Detroit. The series will head to Detroit after Monday's Game 2, but Skubal is the Tigers' clear ace and the pitcher that leaves the team and the fans expecting victory every time he pitches.

If Skubal leads the Tigers to a victory in Game 2, the Tigers go home tied up with the possibility of having Skubal pitch a Game 5 on four days of rest if needed. The difference between that and a 2-0 series deficit is massive.

Meanwhile, the Yankees didn't get an ace-like performance from Gerrit Cole in Game 1 but won a battle of the bullpens against the Kansas City Royals . The Yankees still sit as the favorite to win the AL pennant. Will Carlos Rodon deliver in Game 2 and put the Royals on the brink of elimination?

Here's a look at the odds and projections from The Bat X for Monday's ALDS Game 2s.

Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Guardians

Series odds: Guardians -225; Tigers +180

Guardians lead series 1-0

Game 2 pitching matchup: Tarik Skubal (DET) vs. Matthew Boyd (CLE)

How to watch Tigers at Guardians

Venue: Progressive Field — Cleveland

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TV:

Kansas City Royals at New York Yankees

Series odds: Yankees -450; Royals +340

Yankees lead series 1-0

Game 2 pitching matchup: Cole Ragans (KC) vs. Carlos Rodon (NYY)

How to watch Royals at Yankees

Venue: Yankee Stadium — New York

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MLB Playoff projections from THE BAT X

In the tables below, you'll see details for each MLB matchup, then a lot of numbers (which are updated all day):

"Moneyline" shows each team's odds on BetMGM.

"Implied Win%" is the chance a team has to win based on those BetMGM odds.

"THE BAT X win%" is the chance a team has to win based on EV Analytics' projections.

"Cash Line" is how THE BAT X would price each team's odds.

"Value" is the percentage difference between the odds chances and our projections.

The higher the value percentage, the better — which you can easily see from the color coding from red (bad pick) through to green (good pick).

Note: On mobile, you may have to scroll to see the color-coded "Value" column on the far right of the first set of tables.

Another note: If you're seeing old data or the tables aren't showing up, you may need to " hard refresh " this page, or you may have an ad blocker or other software blocking the tables from loading.

(Photo of Tarik Skubal: Tim Warner / )