Ravens vs. Steelers predictions, picks and best bets for NFL Week 11

Chiefs versus Bills may grab most of your attention Sunday afternoon. However, NFL fans should be equally, if not more, excited to see the Ravens face the Steelers.

AFC North rivalries run deep, and this matchup has a little extra juice. Pittsburgh has a slight advantage in the divisional standings, but Baltimore can change that with a victory.

The NFL Week 11 odds list Baltimore as a slight favorite, and I've identified two best bets for Ravens versus Steelers.

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NFL Week 11 Ravens vs. Steelers predictions and best bets

Steelers +3.5: -118 odds at DraftKings

George Pickens anytime TD scorer: +150 odds at bet365

Backing the Ravens' super-charged offense may seem like the obvious play, but betting trends suggest otherwise. The Steelers are a league-best 7-2 against the spread (ATS), per TeamRankings.

Pittsburgh head coach Mike Tomlin thrives as an underdog. Tomlin's career record ATS in that role is 20-6-3, and the Steelers are 3-0 this season.

QB Lamar Jackson is a human highlight reel, and he's the NFL MVP odds favorite for a reason. However, Baltimore has one fatal flaw: defending the pass. Bengals QB Joe Burrow threw for 428 yards and four touchdowns last week against the Ravens.

The Steelers' offense doesn't match Cincinnati's firepower, but Pittsburgh has shown noticeable improvement with QB Russell Wilson at the helm. The Ravens have given up a league-high 22 passing touchdowns, and I'm predicting WR George Pickens to take advantage.

Pickens has gotten plenty of love from Pittsburgh QBs. His 65 targets are equal to the next two leading pass-catchers combined.

The Steelers are well-balanced, while the Ravens are overly reliant on Jackson and Co. I predict Pittsburgh's defense to get enough stops to cover the 3.5-point spread, and potentially win the game outright.

The Steelers' moneyline odds are as high as +152 at FanDuel.

Ravens vs. Steelers moneyline odds analysis Why the Ravens could win as the favoriteBest odds: -160 at Fanatics

Ravens fans were panicking after an 0-2 start to the season. Since then, Baltimore is 7-1 with a +75 scoring differential.

Jackson and RB Derrick Henry have been unstoppable, combining for 1,658 rushing yards and 14 touchdowns. Analysts knocked Lamar's passing early in his career, and he's taken major strides in year seven.

Jackson has thrown for 24 touchdowns, two interceptions and only Burrow has more yards.

No offense averages more points than Baltimore, and another dominant outing is necessary. Despite a 7-3 record, the Ravens' defense is unreliable. Things could get even worse with All-Pro SS Kyle Hamilton questionable to play.

Why the Steelers could win as the underdogBest odds: +152 at FanDuel

Tomlin has done well against Jackson, winning four of six games versus the dual-threat QB.

Pittsburgh should exploit the deficiencies of a Baltimore defense that allows 25 points per game. Since Wilson took command of the offense in Week 7, the Steelers have scored 30 points per game; a major boost from 21 points when QB Justin Fields was under center.

Unlike Baltimore, Pittsburgh has one of the NFL's top defenses. The Steelers surrender the second-fewest points and have been strong against the run. Containing Jackson and Henry is a key ingredient in a Steelers victory.