Sam Farmer’s Week 3 NFL picks
Los Angeles Times NFL writer Sam Farmer examines the matchups this week. Lines according to FanDuel Sportsbook (O/U = over/under). Record last week 8-8 (.500); season 19-13 (.594). Using point spreads with the scores Farmer predicted , the record against the spread last week would have been 7-8-1 (.467); season 18-13-1 (.581). Times Pacific.
PATRIOTS (1-1) at JETS (1-1)
Thursday, 5:30.
Line: Jets by 61⁄2. O/U: 381⁄2.
Jets losing defensive end Jermaine Johnson really hurts them. The Patriots are looking much better than expected. The Jets have more playmakers, but New England keeps it closer than some might suspect.
Pick: Jets 23, Patriots 18
CHARGERS (2-0) at STEELERS (2-0)
Sunday, 10 a.m.
Line: Steelers by 11⁄2. O/U: 351⁄2.
Early indications are that Jim Harbaugh has instilled a toughness in the Chargers we haven't seen in a while. They have a balanced attack and are capable of picking up a big road win at Pittsburgh.
Pick: Chargers 20, Steelers 17
EAGLES (1-1) at SAINTS (2-0)
Sunday, 10 a.m.
Line: Saints by 21⁄2. O/U: 491⁄2.
The Eagles are coming off a short week and a soul-crushing defeat at home. They are different with a healthy A.J. Brown. The New Orleans defense is pretty solid, and that offense is rolling.
Pick: Saints 27, Eagles 24
GIANTS (0-2) at BROWNS (1-1)
Sunday, 10 a.m.
Line: Browns by 61⁄2. O/U: 381⁄2.
After an embarrassing opener, Cleveland's defense woke up. That should be enough to handle Daniel Jones and the Giants, who looked a bit better last week but still have their issues.
Pick: Browns 24, Giants 16
BEARS (1-1) at COLTS (0-2)
Sunday, 10 a.m.
Line: Colts by 11⁄2. O/U: 431⁄2.
Good thing for the Colts that the Bears don't have a great ground attack because, so far, Indianapolis can't stop the run. If the Colts don't turn it over, they have enough to outscore an anemic offense.
Pick: Colts 21, Bears 13
TEXANS (2-0) at VIKINGS (2-0)
Sunday, 10 a.m.
Line: Texans by 21⁄2. O/U: 451⁄2.
Brian Flores is doing a great job with that Vikings defense and getting after the quarterback. The Texans, meanwhile, could do a much better job of protecting C.J. Stroud . Minnesota is at home.
Pick: Vikings 24, Texans 20
BRONCOS (0-2) at BUCS (2-0)
Sunday, 10 a.m.
Line: Buccaneers by 61⁄2. O/U: 391⁄2.
Strange with Sean Payton as coach, but the Broncos offense looks a little stale and out of sync. Tough to cure that against a solid Tampa Bay defense, although Buccaneers are banged up.
Pick: Buccaneers 24, Broncos 16
PACKERS (1-1) at TITANS (0-2)
Sunday, 10 a.m.
Line: Titans by 21⁄2. O/U: 361⁄2.
Packers quarterback Malik Willis faces his former team. The Packers ran decisively against Indianapolis and, although they probably won't rack up as many yards against the Titans, can do enough to win.
Pick: Packers 23, Titans 18
PANTHERS (0-2) at RAIDERS (1-1)
Sunday, 1:05 p.m.
Line: Raiders by 51⁄2. O/U: 401⁄2.
Carolina's a mess but might look a little better with Andy Dalton at quarterback. The Raiders have a very good defense, and the offense is gaining confidence in Gardner Minshew.
Pick: Raiders 27, Panthers 17
DOLPHINS (1-1) at SEAHAWKS (2-0)
Sunday, 1:05 p.m.
Line: Seahawks by 41⁄2. O/U: 411⁄2.
The Seahawks have cobbled together two close wins, and this will be the best team they've faced. The Dolphins are a step up in competition but aren't the same with Skylar Thompson at quarterback.
Pick: Seahawks 21, Dolphins 13
Sunday, 1:25 p.m.
Line: 49ers by 71⁄2. O/U: 431⁄2.
Things are going to get worse for the injury-riddled Rams before they get better. Losing Cooper Kupp is big. They have a hard enough time with San Francisco as it is. Rams are running on fumes.
Pick: 49ers 31, Rams 17
LIONS (1-1) at CARDINALS (1-1)
Sunday, 1:25 p.m.
Line: Lions by 3. O/U: 521⁄2.
Cardinals have put together two strong weeks and are going to be fun to watch this season. The Lions are coming off a loss, but they were their own worst enemy in Tampa Bay game. Close, but visitors prevail.
Pick: Lions 28, Cardinals 24
RAVENS (0-2) at COWBOYS (1-1)
Sunday, 1:25 p.m.
Line: Ravens by 11⁄2. O/U: 481⁄2.
Terrible start for the Ravens, and this is not an ideal opponent to end the slide. Baltimore doesn't have great blocking tight ends, and that's an issue against a defense with Micah Parsons.
Pick: Cowboys 27, Ravens 23
CHIEFS (2-0) at FALCONS (1-1)
Sunday, 5:20 p.m.
Line: Chiefs by 31⁄2. O/U: 461⁄2.
The Falcons have to be floating on a cloud after that come-from-behind win at Philadelphia. They still have a lot to prove, though. The Chiefs have way too much firepower, even with Isiah Pacheco out.
Pick: Chiefs 28, Falcons 21
JAGUARS (0-2) at BILLS (2-0)
Monday, 4:30 p.m.
Line: Bills by 41⁄2. O/U: 451⁄2.
Sometimes it's addition by subtraction, and Josh Allen and the Bills are doing fine without Stefon Diggs. Jacksonville is talented and healthy, but the Jaguars can't seem to pull it together yet.
Pick: Bills 24, Jaguars 20
COMMANDERS (1-1) at BENGALS (0-2)
Monday, 5:15 p.m.
Line: Bengals by 71⁄2. O/U: 481⁄2.
Jayden Daniels has looked pretty solid so far, and this team isn't going to roll over, but the Bengals are starting to click, and defensive coordinator Lou Anarumo will draw something up against the rookie.
Pick: Bengals 30, Commanders 20
This story was originally published September 19, 2024, 4:41 PM.
