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Will Trump or Harris win the election? Here are the odds and what Arizonans need to know

J.Thompson2 hr ago

Arizona is a battleground state this election year, with both presidential candidates fighting to win the Grand Canyon State.

In the previous presidential election, fewer than 11,000 votes separated candidates Joe Biden and Donald Trump, indicating how close things could be this year.

With just a few weeks until the Nov. 5 election , more candidates are scheduled to visit the state. Political ads and texts are likely to reach new levels as the campaign for Arizonans' votes continues.

Here's what to know about who could win, including the odds for Vice President Kamala Harris or former President Donald Trump to win the presidential election and the latest polls from Arizona.

What do the latest polls from Arizona say?

The presidential race is about as close as can be in Arizona, according to a September survey of voters in the state, with neither candidate holding a significant lead. Some 6% of voters said they were undecided, a figure that pollsters say actually may be lower.

Who will win the election? Here's where Trump, Harris stand in latest polls from Arizona

Like the betting odds, polling averages synthesized by Real Clear Politics have risen about a percentage point in Harris' favor following the Sept. 10 debate. Trump's polling has been largely unchanged.

Harris' and Trump's odds of winning the 2024 presidential election

While the numbers have turned in Harris' favor again, Trump remains a few percentage points away. That gap is much smaller than he's faced in betting markets during his two previous presidential runs, according to Betfair.

Betfair odds had Hillary Clinton with an 81% likelihood of winning on Election Day in 2016. The betting favorite has only lost twice since 1866, according to the Conversation, a nonprofit news organization. The only other time bettors failed to predict the winner: 1948 when Democrat Harry Truman beat 8-to-1 odds to defeat Republican Thomas Dewey.

Arizona Republic reporter Stephanie Murray contributed to this .

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