Abortion Ballot Results: Florida Rejects New Protections, Arizona Passes Abortion Rights Amendment
Voters in Nebraska narrowly approved a measure that leaves in place abortion restrictions Tuesday, as the state and Florida became the first states since Roe v. Wade was overturned where ballot measures broke against abortion rights—though four other states have so far voted to protect reproductive rights, including Arizona. (This page will be updated as results come in.)
Key Facts
What To Watch ForIt remains to be seen how long it will take for all the races to be called, as that will depend on how close the races are.
Crucial Quote"Tonight, Floridians made their voices heard loud and clear, demanding an end to the state's restrictive 6-week abortion ban," Floridians Protecting Freedom, the main group advocating for the state's abortion measure, said in a statement Tuesday night. "While Amendment 4 fell just short of the 60%, a clear majority of voters have demanded lawmakers repeal the extreme abortion ban"
What We Don't KnowIf and how the abortion ballot measures could help or hurt Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump in the states where they've been brought. Democrats have traditionally viewed abortion ballot measures as helping to boost their candidates, believing more Democratic voters will be persuaded to vote because they want to back the ballot measure, and will then vote for Harris as well. Trump campaign political director James Blair told The Washington Post the Trump campaign believes the ballot measures may actually help them, however, as polling suggests abortion ballot measures are more popular than Harris, suggesting voters will split their vote to back both abortion remaining legal and Trump. That's because voters might believe their vote preserving state abortion access means they don't have to consider it as a key issue for the presidential race, and therefore will back Trump even though there's a greater likelihood he would act against abortion rights. Either line of thinking could have major implications for the presidential election, given that abortion is on the ballot in the major swing states of Arizona and Nevada.
Big Number Chief CriticsThis year's abortion ballot measures have faced heavy resistance from Republicans and anti-abortion advocates in the states where they've been brought. Measures in states including Missouri, Montana and New York were allowed to stay on the ballot by judges after legal challenges were brought against them, for instance, and while the measure will appear on the ballot, litigation is still ongoing over South Dakota's referendum. Florida's abortion ballot measure has been attacked the most, as GOP Gov. Ron DeSantis' administration has opposed the measure through such steps as a state health agency creating a website to advocate against it, DeSantis launching an investigation into signatures supporting the measure and the governor suggesting the state would bring criminal charges against television stations airing ads in support of the measure. A judge issued a restraining order preventing DeSantis' administration from taking action against television advertisements as a result, ruling the state was "trampling" on free speech rights.
Key BackgroundAbortion ballot measures have become a key tool for abortion rights advocates to preserve access to the procedure in the wake of the Supreme Court overturning Roe v. Wade in June 2022. The measures have become a way for abortion rights supporters to harness public opinion in favor of legalizing the procedure, overriding anti-abortion lawmakers in states that have banned or are at risk of banning abortion, and ensuring that even if abortion is legal in a particular state, lawmakers will not be able to ban it in the future. Kansas was the first state to put abortion on the ballot in August 2022, with California, Kentucky, Michigan, Montana and Vermont following in the 2022 midterms and Ohio voting on abortion rights in 2023. All races have broken in favor of abortion rights, part of a broader trend of pro-abortion rights candidates winning at the ballot box in races where abortion is a central issue.
Further Reading How Americans Really Feel About Abortion: The Sometimes Surprising Poll Results As DNC Gets Underway
