Browns at Saints: How to watch, odds, expert picks for Jameis Winston revenge game
This one is just for pride, as neither the Saints nor Browns are headed anywhere this season, and the New York Giants may well have secured the number one pick with a loss to Carolina. But someone has to win, and the odds are predicting the Saints by a hair.
How to watch Browns at Saints
New Orleans steered out of a seven-game skid to beat the Falcons, and though the Saints are without their top two receivers, they get the edge thanks to home-field advantage.
Derek Carr and Marquez Valdes-Scantling morphed into Tom Brady and Randy Moss in Week 10, but not even the wildest imaginations expect that to continue — especially against the Browns. Cleveland blitzes fourth-most in the NFL , is third in pressure rate and fifth in sack rate. While Carr has the best EPA in the league when under pressure (yes, really), he has the benefits of a small sample size and having not played the Browns. Only Jayden Daniels has managed a positive EPA against Cleveland's pressure this season, while the likes of Lamar Jackson, Jalen Hurts and Joe Burrow all struggled (Burrow was the only one with a completion rate over 50 percent).
It will be the Alvin Kamara show, as the Browns are in the bottom 10 in rushing yards after contact and rushing yards allowed over expected.
Cleveland's offense will depend on the whims of the NFL's premier chaos agent, Jameis Winston, who followed his near-perfect debut against the Ravens with a three-pick, six-sack game against the Chargers. He had a week off to regroup but comes off the bye with the same undermanned receiving group he had before.
But Winston's unique skill lies in what he's willing to attempt, and those attempts can be game-changing if they hit. The former No. 1 pick will try any throw at any depth, which is why his 9.6 air yards per attempt through four games already leads the NFL. The Saints were middle of the road against deep and intermediate passes, and those numbers took a hit once superstar corner Marshon Lattimore was traded last week. They are vulnerable to a gunslinger, and Winston will happily be their Huckleberry.
Browns vs. Saints odds
Expert picks for Browns vs. Saints
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(Photo of Jameis Winston: Nick Cammett / )
