Forbes

Georgia 2024 Trump-Harris Polls: Most Surveys Show Trump Ahead In Crucial Swing State

S.Wright3 hr ago
Topline

Former President Donald Trump is on track to flip Georgia after losing to President Joe Biden there in 2020, but polls show a tight race in the state that shifted from red to purple during Trump's tenure, propelled by diversification in Atlanta's suburbs.

Key Facts

Republicans control the state Senate, the House and the governor's office in Georgia and nine of its 14 representatives in Congress are Republicans. Republican Gov. Brian Kemp has staved off challenges from former Democratic Rep. Stacy Abrams in both 2018 and 2022, and increased his victory from one to seven points in the most recent election.

Big Number Key Background

Georgia is one of seven swing states likely to decide who wins the presidential election. Poll trackers show Harris leading Trump in Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and Nevada, while Trump leads in North Carolina and Georgia. The most likely path to victory for Harris runs through the Rust Belt states of Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin, which have a combined 44 electoral votes. If she wins all three, plus all the other non-swing states Biden won in 2020, she would reach the 270 electoral-vote threshold needed to win the election. If Trump wins one of the Rust Belt states (most likely Pennsylvania, according to polls), and also carries Georgia and North Carolina, then he would likely break 270.

Further Reading

Election 2024 Swing State Polls: Harris Leads By 1 Point In 7 Battlegrounds In Latest Survey (Forbes)

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