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Top 5 Prop Bets for Texans vs. Cowboys on Monday Night Football
O.Anderson23 min ago
The NFL's Week 11 schedule comes to a close in Big D, as the Dallas Cowboys (3-6, 2-7 ATS) host their in-state rivals, the Houston Texans (6-4, 4-5-1 ATS), on Monday Night Football. While this season has not unfolded the way the Cowboys expected, a win here could keep the team's slim playoff hopes alive. The Texans, meanwhile, sit atop the AFC South division and are eyeing a home playoff game, barring a late-season collapse. The Pennsylvania sports betting scene favors the road team by at least a touchdown, which is a considerable reversal from where the game opened with Houston as a 3.0-point underdog. The 41.5-point total for this contest sits as the third-lowest figure among all Week 11 NFL games. Before we dive into the prop bets for this Cowboys-Texans tilt on Monday Night Football, here's a look at the best betting odds for this ballgame.Joe Mixon Rushing Yards Over 86.5 (-120, DraftKings) Rico Dowdle Receiving Yards Over 17.5 (-117, Caesars) Cowboys Alternate Total Over 16.5 (-115, FanDuel) C.J. Stroud Passing Yards Under 234.5 (-115, BetMGM) Dalton Schultz Receiving Yards Over 32.5 (-113, BetRivers) Expect Mixon to carry the load Joe Mixon came to Houston as a high-volume workhorse, and he's lived up to that billing when he's been available. Over the last four weeks, he's averaged 24.8 rushing attempts per game, gaining over 100 yards in three of those contests. Coming off of a contest where he faced one of the league's better run defenses and managed just 46 rushing yards, Mixon eyes a porous Dallas D that's ceded the sixth most yards on the ground despite playing only nine games.Mixon has gone over his rushing yards prop in five of seven games this season. The Cowboys have allowed opposing running backs to average 115.7 rushing yards per game over the last three weeks. Mixon averages 93.6 rushing yards per game in 2024. The bet: Joe Mixon Rushing Yards Over 86.5 (-120, DraftKings Sportsbook ) Dowdle to be lead back in this one Backing Rico Dowdle at Pennsylvania's top sportsbooks might be a good idea this week considering Dallas head coach Mike McCarthy named the fifth-year vet the team's "lead back" for this ball game. Dowdle was ineffective against the Eagles, like much of Dallas' offense, but he has been a productive receiver out of the backfield at times this season. And if McCarthy wants Rush or Trey Lance to settle in quickly, the passing game might feature short dump offs and screens.Dowdle has gone over his receiving yards prop in five of his last seven games. The Texans have allowed running backs to average 28.5 receiving yards over the last four weeks. Dowdle averages 4.8 targets per game at home this season and has gained at least 27 receiving yards in three of his last four games overall. The bet: Rico Dowdle Receiving Yards Over 17.5 (-117, Caesars Sportsbook ) Cowboys could find the endzone on MNF Dallas' first performance with Cooper Rush as a starter did not go as planned. The 34-6 dismantling at the hands of the Philadelphia Eagles continued a lamentable season in Dallas, but the Cowboys find themselves facing a far more forgiving defense this week. It'll help that this game is being played at night, so the sun won't cause any Cowboys receivers to lose touchdown passes in the glare.The Texans defense has allowed an average of 20.3 points per game over the last four weeks. The Cowboys averaged 21.2 points per game in Rush's six starts prior to last week. Houston has surrendered at least 20 points to opponents in seven consecutive weeks and in eight out of 10 games overall. The bet: Cowboys Alternate Total Over 16.5 (-115, FanDuel Sportsbook ) Stroud shouldn't be slinging the rock C.J. Stroud's uneven sophomore season was on full display last week, playing a great first half before struggling in the second. He couldn't lead the Texans to a win in Detroit, but he should find his footing easier in Dallas. Couple Stroud's inconsistencies with the likelihood that the Texans will likely have a lead and that probably means Houston won't need to rely on their star quarterback's arm in this one.Stroud has gone under his passing yards prop in four of his last five games. The Cowboys rank 16th in passing yards allowed per game (227.6) and have opposing quarterbacks under their passing yards prop in four of their last five games. Dallas enters with the second-worst run defense in the league, surrendering 152.1 rushing yards per game. The bet: C.J. Stroud Passing Yards Under 234.5 (-115, BetMGM Sportsbook ) Dalton Schultz revenge game Dalton Schultz returns to Big D and looks to play the villain in this one. And considering the state of Houston's receiving corps, there's a decent chance he does it. Schultz's numbers haven't been eye-popping for the Texans this season, but he's seen his fair share of targets and should remain a prominent part of the passing attack even with the return of Nico Collins. While the full season stats don't look great, Schultz has been very productive in two of the last three weeks for Houston.Schultz has gone over a 32.5-yard receiving prop in four of his last seven games, including two of his last three. The Cowboys have allowed opposing tight ends to gain 54.7 receiving yards per game over the last three weeks. Schultz is coming off a season-high 66 yard performance last week.
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