Georgia poll: Trump has 1-point edge over Harris
SAVANNAH, Ga. (WSAV) – The final Emerson College Polling/The Hill swing state surveys continue to find a race that is too close to call .
In Georgia, former President Donald Trump has a one-point edge over Vice President Kamala Harris, 49.5% to 48.9%. Undecided voters sat at 0.7%, with 0.9% saying they would vote for someone else.
When asked who they expect to be president regardless of who they support, 49.9% of respondents chose Harris, 48.6% chose Trump and 1.5% chose someone else.
By far, the most important issue facing Georgia was the economy (jobs, inflation, taxes), according to respondents. Here is how the issues played out:
Health care – 7.5%
Education – 4.1%
Economy – 41%
Crime – 6.1%
Immigration – 10.3%
Housing affordability – 9.7%
Abortion access – 8.3%
Threats to democracy – 10.4%
Foreign policy – 0.5%
Something else – 2%
Of the respondents, 33.8% were Democrat, 38% were Republican and 28.2% were independent/other.
As for ethnicity, 7.1% were Hispanic/Latino, 60.9% were white/Caucasian, 28.9% were Black/African American, 1.7% were Asian and 1.4% were other/multiple races.
The age range is broken down as:
18-29 years – 20.1%
30-39 years – 16.8%
40-49 years – 17.8%
50-59 years – 17.8%
60-69 years – 14.8%
70 or more years – 12.8%
The poll also asked about President Joe Biden's approval rating. 37.3% approved of the job he is doing as president, 53.7% disapproved, and 8.9% were neutral or had no opinion.
As for Gov. Brian Kemp's approval rating, 52.9% approved, 26.4% disapproved and 20.7% were neutral or had no opinion.
Data was weighted by statewide voter parameters, including gender, age, race/ethnicity, partisan affiliation/registration, education, and voter registration/turnout data per state.
The survey was administered by contacting respondents' cell phones via MMS-to-web and landlines via Interactive Voice Response with respondents provided by Aristotle, along with an online panel provided by CINT. The surveys were offered in English. Data was collected between October 30-November 2, 2024. The surveys were conducted by Emerson College Polling and sponsored by Nexstar Media.
It is important to remember that subsets based on demographics, such as gender, age, education, and race/ethnicity, carry with them higher credibility intervals, as the sample size is reduced.
Survey results should be understood within the poll's range of scores, and know with a confidence interval of 95% a poll will fall outside the range of scores 1 in 20 times.
