Miami Heat at Indiana Pacers odds, picks and predictions
(5-6) and Indiana Pacers (5-7) meet for their second straight matchup Sunday. Tip-off from Gainbridge Fieldhouse is set for 5 p.m. ET. Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's NBA odds around the Heat vs. Pacers odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Miami leads 1-0
Miami beat Indiana 124-111 Friday in NBA Cup action while covering as a 4.5-point underdog. C Bam Adebayo had his best game of the season, finishing with 30 points, 11 rebounds, 7 assists, and 5 steals. Miami has won 2 of its last 3 games.
The Pacers' starting unit was abysmal vs. Miami as all 5 starters finished with a +/- of -22, or worse, while every bench player finished with a positive +/-. Indiana also lost the turnover battle 20-10 to the Heat.
Heat at Pacers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NBA odds. Lines last updated at 2:13 a.m. ET.
Heat at Pacers key injuries
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Heat at Pacers picks and predictions
Pacers 119, Heat 117
LEAN PACERS (-130).
These types of "baseball series'" where teams meet for back-to-back matchups are almost always split in the NBA, so this is a pretty safe bet based on that alone. Furthermore, I simply don't see the Pacers losing their third straight game here, so I'm backing them here as slight favorites.
Against the spread
LEAN HEAT +2.5 (-110).
Miami has covered the spread in 2 of its last 3 games and is 3-1 ATS in its last 4 matchups against the Pacers. Miami and Indiana are very similarly calibered teams at the moment, so look for this matchup to be close throughout.
This is a lean because a spread of 2.5-points leaves almost no margin for error, automatically making the bet risky.
Over/Under
BET OVER 229.5 (-110).
The Over has hit in back-to-back games for Miami and is 4-1 in its last 5 games. For Indiana, the Over is 5-0 in its 5 home games this year and 8-4 on the season. The Over has also hit in each of the last 5 matchups between these squads.
With defenders like Nesmith and Nemhard still out for the Pacers, their defense will continue to struggle, making the Over here a safe bet.
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