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Harris v. Trump: It's anyone's race as Election Day arrives

E.Nelson21 min ago

Americans are heading to the polls Tuesday to pick a new president.

Polls leading up to Election Day have shown a true toss-up race between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump.

An amalgam of show both candidates with 48% of the vote.

The election will be decided by voters in : Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.

The final New York Times/Siena College showed almost all of the races within the margin of error, meaning any apparent lead should be taken with a grain of salt.

Another element in two swing states is the .

Voters will decide on 11 abortion initiatives in 10 states, including the battleground states of Arizona and Nevada.

"It might get people off the couch, get people out of the house to vote in favor of abortion rights. And my guess is those people would be likely to vote for Harris," Anne Whitesell, an assistant professor of political science at Miami University in Ohio, previously told The National News Desk.

is a top issue for a lot of voters, and that issue favors Trump.

, the top issue for voters, has also generally favored Trump in polls conducted in the weeks and months before the election.

Voter divisions aside from party could also decide this election.

One such division is the gender gap, in which the showed Harris leading Trump 54% to 42% among women, and Trump leading Harris 55% to 41% among men.

There's a diploma divide, in which polling showed nearly 60% of folks with college degrees favoring Harris and 54% without a degree favoring Trump.

And Trump's ability to return to the White House might depend on his ability to regain suburban voters he lost in 2020.

When Trump won in 2016, he did so with a .

When he lost in 2020, he did that with an 11-point disadvantage among suburban voters.

Polling leading into this election shows Trump again trailing among suburban voters. polling shows him trailing Vice President Kamla Harris by six percentage points among suburban voters.

"I think things are so knotted up that it's just 99% mobilization (of each side's voters) at this point," Oklahoma State University politics professor Seth McKee .

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