Week 12 Thanksgiving Packers vs. Lions odds, game and player props

Green Bay and Detroit kick off the Thanksgiving festivities from Ford Field, where the Lions are unbeaten in four, their only defeat coming in the home opener against the Seahawks. The Lions also carry a three-game winning streak into the game, while the Packers enter the encounter on the back of a three-point victory over the Chargers.

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NFL Week 12 Packers vs. Lions odds preview

Form often flies out the window when heated divisional rivals clash, which could be the case early Thursday afternoon. While Green Bay might rise to the elevated occasion, the evidence supporting a comprehensive Detroit triumph is overwhelming.

The Lions haven’t played their best football lately but are overdue for a contest where all their weapons sync like a harmonic symphony. Dan Campbell’s team has the fifth-ranked rush offense and defense, the fourth-ranked pass attack, the sixth-most points per game, and the league’s second-best record, trailing only the Eagles.

The Packers defend the pass proficiently (seventh-ranked pass defense) and are somewhat challenging to score a bunch of points against (10th-fewest points allowed per game). However, Green Bay is a dismal 1-4 on its travels, with its only road victory against the tragic Bears in Week 1.

Aside from that 38-point outburst at Soldier Field, Green Bay has averaged just 18.25 points per road outing. Compare that anemic return to the Lions’ 30-point-per-game average at Ford Field.

In addition, the Lions have historically disappointed their fanbase on Thanksgiving, which they’ll be steely focused on atoning for. Oh, and the Lions handled the Packers 34-20 at Lambeau Field in Week 4.

NFL Week 12 Packers vs. Lions best game bet: Lions -7.5 ( -110 at DraftKings )

Detroit endured a subpar three-and-a-half quarters against the Bears last week, but don’t expect that to happen in consecutive games on home turf. Jared Goff was a turnover machine against Chicago, throwing three interceptions in his worst outing of the season. He threw only five picks in the other nine contests.

Those uncharacteristic mistakes shouldn’t recur, posing a problem for a Green Bay team that cannot score points in unfriendly environments. The Packers are 0-3 after securing a win, another strange but disconcerting stat providing evidence they cannot extend momentum gained from one game to the next.

The Lions will be up for this one, particularly knowing a home playoff game is within their grasp. Detroit has covered the spread in 15 of their previous 20 games, a trend they should build upon on Turkey Day.

NFL Week 12 Packers vs. Lions best game bet: David Montgomery over 67.5 rushing yards ( -115 at DraftKings )

The Lions have one of the league’s most dynamic and versatile run games, largely thanks to David Montgomery. He rushed for at least 68 yards in five of the six games in which he played 60 minutes. He fell one yard short against the Seahawks in Week 1, the lone exception.

He left early in Week 6 after injuring his ribs, which forced him out of the subsequent three games. Since returning to the lineup, Montgomery gained 116 yards on the ground against the Chargers’ 12th-ranked rush defense and 76 against the Bears’ second-ranked ground stop unit.

Considering the opponent, which has the league’s 28th-ranked rush defense, Campbell will want to establish the run game early, increasing the likelihood of the prop paying out.

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